Tuesday, April 30, 2013

What Rising Australian Stock Market Could Mean For The AUDUSD!?



Today decided to look at the Australian stock market where we can see a pretty strong impulsive rally that should move even higher as we need five waves from early April low. Maybe you are wondering how this will impact the AUDUSD?! We suspect that if investors will keep their money in shares; which is expected based on the price action, then there will be no demand for cash (AUD) which may keep AUDUSD below resistance. On the other-hand, only if investors will start to sell their shares then they would exchange them for Australian dollars which will most-likely increase its value. So for now when Australian stocks are higher the AUDUSD could go even lower if we consider the negative correlation between the markets as shown on the overlay chart below.

ASXSP200 4h


Australian stocks vs. AUDUSD


USDCHF Technical Analysis - Sell at 0.9955

USDCHF made a nice bull move from 0.9716 to 0.9990. Then USDCHF drops from over bought zone. USDCHF is trading below its 20 period MA on 4h ...