Monday, September 30, 2013

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: up turn.

Pivot: 21.45

Our preference: LONG positions above 21.45 with targets @ 21.9 & 22.1.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 21.45 will call for a slide towards 21.3 & 21.2.

Comment: intraday support around 21.45

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 102.25

Our preference: SHORT positions below 102.25 with 100.85 & 99.65 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 102.25 will call for 103.15 & 103.75.

Comment: the break below 102.25 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 100.85.

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 1320.00

Our preference: LONG positions above 1320 with 1352 & 1359 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1320 will open the way to 1306 & 1291.

Comment: gold prices are trading in a bullish channel.

Friday, September 27, 2013

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 103.30

Our preference: SHORT positions below 103.3 with 102.2 & 100.85 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 103.3 will call for a rebound towards 103.95 & 105.

Comment: capped by a negative trend line.

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: turning down.

Pivot: 21.90

Our preference: SHORT positions below 21.9 with 21.3 & 21.2 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 21.9 will call for 22.1 & 22.45.

Comment: the RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: further upside.

Pivot: 1320.00

Our preference: LONG positions above 1320 with 1339 & 1346 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1320 will call for 1306 & 1291.

Comment: intraday support around 1320

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: turning down.

Pivot: 21.90

Our preference: SHORT positions below 21.9 with targets @ 21.3 & 21.2.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 21.9 will call for a rebound towards 22.1 & 22.45.

Comment: the RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 1320.00

Our preference: LONG positions above 1320 with targets @ 1339 & 1346.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1320 will call for 1306 & 1291.

Comment: intraday support around 1320.


Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 103.30

Our preference: SHORT positions below 103.3 with 102.2 & 100.85 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 103.3 will call for a rebound towards 103.95 & 105.

Comment: capped by a negative trend line.



Thursday, September 26, 2013

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: bullish bias above 1320

Pivot: 1320.00

Our preference: LONG positions above 1320 with 1346 & 1358 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1320 will call for a slide towards 1306 & 1291.

Comment: the break above the 1329 former resistance area is a positive signal calling for further advance.

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: key ST resistance at 21.95

Pivot: 21.95

Our preference: SHORT positions below 21.95 with 21.5 & 21.2 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 21.95 will open the way to 22.45 & 23.

Comment: as long as 21.95 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: key ST resistance at 104.1

Pivot: 104.10

Our preference: SHORT positions below 104.1 with 100.85 & 99.65 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 104.1 will call for a rebound towards 105 & 105.6.

Comment: the RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: under pressure.

Pivot: 104.10

Our preference: SHORT positions below 104.1 with 100.85 & 99.65 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 104.1 will call for 105 & 105.6.

Comment: the RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.


GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: bullish bias above 1320

Pivot: 1320.00

Our preference: LONG positions above 1320 with 1346 & 1358 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1320 will call for 1306 & 1291.

Comment: the break above the 1329 former resistance area is a positive signal calling for further advance.

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: key ST resistance at 21.95

Pivot: 21.95

Our preference: SHORT positions below 21.95 with 21.5 & 21.2 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 21.95 will call for a rebound towards 22.45 & 23.

Comment: as long as 21.95 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 104.10

Our preference: SHORT positions below 104.1 with targets @ 102.3 & 100.85.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 104.1 will call for a rebound towards 105 & 105.6.

Comment: as long as 104.1 is resistance, likely decline to 102.3.

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 21.95

Our preference: SHORT positions below 21.95 with targets @ 21.2 & 20.6.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 21.95 will open the way to 22.45 & 23.

Comment: as long as 21.95 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

GOLD‏ (Dec 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 1332.00

Our preference: SHORT positions below 1332 with targets @ 1306 & 1291.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1332 will call for 1346 & 1358.

Comment: as long as 1332 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.


GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: key ST resistance at 1332

Pivot: 1332.00

Our preference: SHORT positions below 1332 with 1306 & 1291 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1332 will call for a rebound towards 1346 & 1358.

Comment: as long as 1332 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 1332.00

Our preference: SHORT positions below 1332 with 1306 & 1291 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1332 will call for a rebound towards 1346 & 1358.

Comment: as long as 1332 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 21.95

Our preference: SHORT positions below 21.95 with 21.2 & 20.6 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 21.95 will call for 22.45 & 23.

Comment: as long as 21.95 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: under pressure.

Pivot: 104.10

Our preference: SHORT positions below 104.1 with targets @ 102.3 & 100.85.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 104.1 will open the way to 105 & 105.6.

Comment: as long as 104.1 is resistance, likely decline to 102.3.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 21.95

Our preference: SHORT positions below 21.95 with 21.2 & 20.6 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 21.95 will open the way to 22.45 & 23.

Comment: as long as 21.95 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 1332.00

Our preference: SHORT positions below 1332 with targets @ 1307 & 1291.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1332 will call for a rebound towards 1346 & 1358.

Comment: as long as 1332 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 104.40

Our preference: SHORT positions below 104.4 with 103.1 & 101.9 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 104.4 will call for 105 & 105.6.

Comment: as long as the resistance at 104.4 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 103.1 remains high.

Thursday, September 19, 2013

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: further upside.

Pivot: 106.60

Our preference: LONG positions above 106.6 with 108.2 & 108.75 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 106.6 will call for 105.7 & 104.4.

Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

Copper‏ (LME) intraday: further advance.

Pivot: 7205.0

Our preference: LONG positions above 7205 with 7410 & 7500 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 7205 will call for 7135 & 7025.

Comment: the immediate trend remains up and the momentum is strong.

Gas Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 923.00

Our preference: LONG positions above 923 with 942 & 949 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 923 will call for a slide towards 915 & 910.

Comment: the RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.


Brent‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 108.75

Our preference: LONG positions above 108.75 with targets @ 111.9 & 112.7.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 108.75 will call for 107.4 & 106.2.

Comment: the RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.

Cotton‏ (Dec 13) intraday: further advance.

Pivot: 84.50

Our preference: LONG positions above 84.5 with 86.55 & 87.75 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 84.5 will call for a slide towards 83.6 & 82.95.

Comment: supported by a rising trend line.

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 22.40

Our preference: LONG positions above 22.4 with 23.4 & 23.55 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 22.4 will call for 21.95 & 21.2.

Comment: the RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.


Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 106.60

Our preference: LONG positions above 106.6 with 108.2 & 108.75 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 106.6 will open the way to 105.7 & 104.4.

Comment: the immediate trend remains up and the momentum is strong.


GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 1338.00

Our preference: LONG positions above 1338 with 1374 & 1382 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1338 will call for 1321 & 1308.

Comment: the immediate trend remains up and the momentum is strong.

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Zinc‏ (LME) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 1888.0

Our preference: SHORT positions below 1888 with 1847 & 1840 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1888 will open the way to 1907 & 1927.

Comment: capped by a negative trend line.


Lead‏ (LME) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 2090.0

Our preference: SHORT positions below 2090 with targets @ 2026 & 2013.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 2090 will call for a rebound towards 2125 & 2157.

Comment: the immediate trend remains down and the momentum is strong.

Nickel‏ (LME) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 13600.

Our preference: LONG positions above 13600 with targets @ 14000 & 14120.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 13600 will open the way to 13460 & 13230.

Comment: a support base at 13600 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

Copper‏ (LME) intraday: rebound.

Pivot: 7025.0

Our preference: LONG positions above 7025 with 7130 & 7174 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 7025 will open the way to 6975 & 6910.

Comment: the RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.


Aluminium‏ (LME) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 1793.0

Our preference: SHORT positions below 1793 with 1776 & 1768 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1793 will call for a rebound towards 1801 & 1813.

Comment: as long as 1793 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Cotton‏ (Dec 13) intraday: bullish bias above 84

Pivot: 84.00

Our preference: LONG positions above 84 with 85 & 85.5 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 84 will call for 83.6 & 82.95.

Comment: supported by a rising trend line.


Brent‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 108.75

Our preference: SHORT positions below 108.75 with targets @ 107.4 & 106.2.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 108.75 will open the way to 109.2 & 110.25.

Comment: the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: bounce.

Pivot: 21.30

Our preference: LONG positions above 21.3 with 21.7 & 21.95 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 21.3 will call for 20.85 & 20.6.

Comment: intraday support around 21.3

Crude Oil‏ (Nov 13) intraday: under pressure.

Pivot: 105.25

Our preference: SHORT positions below 105.25 with 104.4 & 103.75 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 105.25 will open the way to 105.95 & 106.7.

Comment: the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: key ST resistance at 1308

Pivot: 1308.00

Our preference: SHORT positions below 1308 with 1288 & 1279 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1308 will call for 1318 & 1334.

Comment: the RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.

Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Lead‏ (LME) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 2096.0

Our preference: SHORT positions below 2096 with targets @ 2026 & 2013.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 2096 will open the way to 2125 & 2157.

Comment: the immediate trend remains down and the momentum is strong.

Nickel‏ (LME) intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot: 13600.

Our preference: LONG positions above 13600 with 14000 & 14120 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 13600 will call for 13460 & 13230.

Comment: a support base at 13600 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

Copper‏ (LME) intraday: up turn.

Pivot: 7025.0

Our preference: LONG positions above 7025 with 7150 & 7174 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 7025 will call for a slide towards 6975 & 6910.

Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.

Aluminium‏ (LME) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 1793.0

Our preference: SHORT positions below 1793 with targets @ 1773 & 1768.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1793 will call for 1801 & 1813.

Comment: the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%

Cotton‏ (Dec 13) intraday: further advance.

Pivot: 83.60

Our preference: LONG positions above 83.6 with 84.85 & 85.5 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 83.6 will open the way to 82.95 & 82.1.

Comment: intraday support around 83.6

Brent‏ (Nov 13) intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 110.40

Our preference: SHORT positions below 110.4 with 108.75 & 108.25 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 110.4 will call for a rebound towards 111.3 & 111.95.

Comment: the RSI is capped by a declining trend line.

SILVER‏ (Spot) intraday: up turn.

Pivot: 21.30

Our preference: LONG positions above 21.3 with 22.35 & 22.75 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 21.3 will call for a slide towards 20.85 & 20.6.

Comment: a support base at 21.3 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

USDCHF Technical Analysis - Sell at 0.9955

USDCHF made a nice bull move from 0.9716 to 0.9990. Then USDCHF drops from over bought zone. USDCHF is trading below its 20 period MA on 4h ...