Friday, February 8, 2013

#Oil: Buyers Could Wait On Deeper and Better Levels Within Bearish Correction

Oil fell down to $95 this weeky before turned bullish again. However, we think that latest  bullish rversal is only temporary, as we are tracking an incomplete corrective decline in wave 4) that should be structured by three legs. We labeled a leading diagonal in wave A followed by a current wave B bounce towards 97.30/50 from where price could turn bearish for wave C.
 

If you are familiar with the Elliott Wave Theory then you will know that fourth waves can be very tricky, because there are many different patterns available, like flat, triangle, zig-zag, or maybe even combination between them. However, the most common structure on the markets is a zig-zag. A zig-zag is a three wave pattern, labeled as A-B-C that occurs against the primary trend.  As such, we will focus on this structure for now, which means more downside could be seen in the next couple of days, possibly even back to $93-$94 zone; 38.2% retracement and base channel supports as shown on a daily chart below.

USDCHF Technical Analysis - Sell at 0.9955

USDCHF made a nice bull move from 0.9716 to 0.9990. Then USDCHF drops from over bought zone. USDCHF is trading below its 20 period MA on 4h ...